Musi wa20 Gunyana, "Dialogue" yeCCTV Finance yakaburitsa hurukuro ine dingindira rekuti "Ramangwana reMagetsi". Vaenzi vakaita saQian Zhimin, nhengo yeKomiti Yekugara yeNational Committee yeChinese People's Political Consultative Conference uye mutevedzeri wemutungamiriri wePopulation, Resources and Environment Committee, Zhu Gongshan, Sachigaro weGCL Group, naZhang Chuanwei, Sachigaro weMingyang Smart Energy, vakapinda muhurukuro iyi.
Hurukuro yacho yainyanya kutarisa nezveramangwana resimba, remangwana remagetsi, uye matanho anotevera kana kuti zvinongedzo zvikuru mukuvandudzwa kwesimba idzva.
Qian Zhimin akati mamiriro aripo pari zvino muindasitiri yemagetsi muChina: Tora nguva dzakajairika dzegore raChikumi naChikunguru semuenzaniso. Marasha anoumba inosvika 60% yesimba rekugadzira magetsi, simba remhepo nezuva 16%, simba remvura 17%, uye simba renyukireya rinenge 5%. Zvisinei, kutaura chokwadi, simba remhepo nezuva rakaiswa ratopfuura simba rekupisa. Asi simba remhepo nezuva rinogona kusangana nemagetsi ezuva, kune rumwe rutivi, zvinoenderana nemamiriro ekunze, uye kune rumwe rutivi, nekuda kwehunhu hwaro hwenguva pfupi, maawa aripo akaderera. Saka, mumamiriro ezvinhu matsva, kuve nechokwadi chekuwanikwa kwemagetsi kunogonawo kuunza matambudziko matsva.
Zhu Gongshan, sachigaro weGCL Group, anotenda kuti: "Kubuda kwemagetsi hakugone kuzivikanwa zvichienderana nekukwanisa kwese kwakaiswa. Mhepo nesimba rezuva hazvina muganho, asi zviri manyuko esimba rekuwedzera uye zvechokwadi zvichava manyuko makuru esimba mune ramangwana. Zvisinei, zvakakosha kugadzira modhi yakakura yedhijitari uye yakangwara, kuvaka sisitimu itsva yesimba, uye kubatanidza kushandiswa kwemagetsi-grid-load-storage-storage-consumption uye digitalization."
Zhang Chuanwei, sachigaro weMingyang Smart Energy, akataura kuti: “Hatigoni kuona simba remhepo nezuva sekufambisa simba kure kana kugadzira simba guru. Chinhu charo chiri mukuwana kugadzirwa nekushandiswa kwesimba munzvimbo, uye mabhenefiti aro ehupfumi uye kukosha kwaro zvese zviripo.” Chechipiri, rinogona kugadzirisa kukura kweindasitiri itsva. Sisitimu itsva yeindasitiri iripo uye sisitimu itsva yekugovera simba, senge simba redhijitari remakombiyuta uye kuvandudzwa kwekurima nenzvimbo dzekumaruwa, zvichanyanya kuvimba nemagetsi akasvibirira mune ramangwana.
Ndeipi mamiriro esimba remagetsi aripo pari zvino muChina?
Qian Zhimin, nhengo yeKomiti Yekugara yeNational Committee yeChinese People's Political Consultative Conference uye mutevedzeri wemutungamiriri wePopulation, Resources and Environment Committee, vakataura nezvemamiriro aripo eindasitiri yemagetsi muChina: Tora nguva dzakajairika dzepamusoro dzaChikumi naChikunguru semuenzaniso. Marasha anoumba inosvika 60% yesimba rekugadzira magetsi, simba remhepo nezuva 16%, simba remvura 17%, uye simba renyukireya rinenge 5%. Zvisinei, kutaura chokwadi, simba remhepo nezuva rakaiswa ratopfuura simba rekupisa. Asi simba remagetsi rinogona kusangana nemhepo nezuva, kune rumwe rutivi, zvinoenderana nemamiriro ekunze, uye kune rumwe rutivi, nekuda kwehunhu hwaro hwenguva pfupi, maawa aripo akaderera. Panguva imwe chete, Qian Zhimin akataurawo kuti kushivirira kweveruzhinji kushomeka kwemagetsi pari zvino kwakaderera kupfuura kare. Kana paine kudzimwa kwemagetsi kwehafu yeawa kana awa izvozvi, vanhuwo zvavo kana chero indasitiri havagone kutsungirira. Naizvozvo, pasi pemamiriro matsva, zvinogonawo kuunza matambudziko matsva kuchengetedzeka kwemagetsi.
Zhu Gongshan, sachigaro weGCL Group, akati, "Kubuda kwemagetsi hakugone kuzivikanwa zvichienderana nekukwanisa kwese kwakaiswa. Mhepo nesimba rezuva hazvina muganho, asi zviri manyuko esimba anowedzera uye zvechokwadi zvichava manyuko makuru esimba mune ramangwana. Zvisinei, zvakakosha kugadzira modhi yakakura yedhijitari uye yakangwara, kuvaka sisitimu itsva yesimba, uye kubatanidza kushandiswa kwemagetsi-grid-load-storage-consumption-and digitalization."
Zhang Chuanwei, sachigaro weMingyang Smart Energy, akataura kuti: “Hatigoni kuona simba remhepo sekutumira simba kure kana kugadzira simba guru. Chinhu charo chiri mukuwana kugadzirwa nekushandiswa kwesimba munzvimbo, uye mabhenefiti aro ehupfumi uye kukosha kwaro zvese zviripo.” Chechipiri, rinogona kugadzirisa kukura kweindasitiri itsva. Sisitimu itsva yeindasitiri iripo uye sisitimu itsva yekugovera simba, senge simba redhijitari remakombiyuta uye kuvandudzwa kwekurima nenzvimbo dzekumaruwa, zvichanyanya kuvimba nemagetsi akasvibirira mune ramangwana.
Ndezvipi zvinhu zvitsva zviri kuitika mukushandiswa kwemagetsi pari zvino?
Cheng Lu, CEO weXinao Digital Energy Technology, akati, “Mazuva ano, huwandu hwemagetsi anoshandiswa mumagetsi emagetsi huri kuramba huchiwedzera. Kare, midziyo yemumba yaive materevhizheni nemafiriji, asi ikozvino kwava nemotokari dzemagetsi dzakawanda, mavacuum cleaner nemidziyo yakangwara.” MuChina, huwandu hwemagetsi anoshandiswa mumagetsi emagetsi emagetsi hwapfuura 30%, uye hunotarisirwa kupfuura 60% panosvika 2050, zvichipetwa kaviri zvakare. Izvi zvichaunza shanduko huru muchimiro chemagetsi.
Cao Kaihu, mukuru weNengjian Energy Research Institute, akataura kuti: “Panosvika gore ra2030, huwandu hwemotokari dzemagetsi munyika medu hunogona kusvika mamiriyoni zana nemakumi mashanu. Nhamba iyi inorevei?” Mupfungwa, mutoro wayo mukuru ungasvika mabhiriyoni maviri nehafu emakirowatts. Izvi zvakaenzana nekushandiswa kwesimba rese munharaunda yese. Kana indasitiri yemotokari dzemagetsi isina kurongeka, mitemo isingatungamirirwi, uye hunyanzvi hwetekinoroji husina kukurumidza zvakakwana, zvinogona kukonzera kukanganisa kukuru pamagetsi ese.”
Tang Renhu, sachigaro weZhongchuang Carbon Investment, akati, "Parizvino, kudiwa kwemagetsi munzvimbo dzeAI data kuri kuwedzera. Panosvika 2024, ichashandisa magetsi anosvika mabhiriyoni mazana maviri emakirowati, uye panosvika 2035, ichada magetsi anosvika mabhiriyoni 1.2 emakiromita pagore." Kudiwa kunounzwa nerudzi urwu rwemutoro kunogona kuzadzikiswa sei? Saka, padanho rino, kuenzaniswa kwekugoverwa nekudiwa kuri kutarisana nechikamu chitsva. Zvinogoneka kuti mitemo yakachena yekare, nzira dzakachena, uye manzwiro akachena hazvigone kugadzirisa dambudziko. Ichafanira kuvimba nezvishandiso zvedhijitari zvemangwana. Maitiro ekuwana kuenzaniswa kwakarongeka ingave nyaya iyo divi rekushandisa nedivi rekugoverwa rinofanira kuramba richisangana mune ramangwana.
Qian Zhimin, nhengo yeKomiti Yekugara yeNational Committee yeChinese People's Political Consultative Conference uye mutevedzeri wemukuru wePopulation, Resources and Environment Committee, akawedzerawo kuti: Kunyangwe AI iri kuwedzera pamwe nemotokari dzemagetsi, pachine chimwe chinhu chinofanira kuverengerwa mukudiwa kwemagetsi, uye ndiko kudiwa kwemagetsi akasvibirira. Midziyo yatinotumira kuEurope ichatanga kubhadhariswa mitero yecarbon kutanga kwa2026. Saka, kutaura chokwadi, kunewo kudiwa kwemagetsi akasvibirira mukudiwa kwemagetsi. Iri idambudziko guru riri kutarisanawo neindasitiri yemagetsi nemagetsi parizvino.
Kubuda kwezviteshi zvemagetsi zvemagetsi kuchachinja sei mamiriro emagetsi emangwana?
Zhu Gongshan, sachigaro weGCL Group, akataura muchirongwa ichi achiti: “Kana magwenya emagetsi echokwadi akatangwa, simba rese rekugadzira magetsi riripo rinogona kuderedzwa ne10% kusvika 15%. Kutaura zvazviri, pari zvino, nzvimbo dzakawanda dzemagetsi hadzisi kuita basa radzo chairo, uye nzvimbo dzakawanda dzinoiswa dzinoshandiswa panguva yepamusoro uye dzinoshandiswa zvakanyanya.” Nekuuya kwemagwenya emagetsi echokwadi, nzvimbo dzemagetsi dzemazuva ano dzinogona kugadziriswa kuburikidza nemagwenya emagetsi echokwadi.
Zhang Chuanwei, sachigaro weMingyang Smart Energy, akati: Makore gumi apfuura, ndakarota kuti kushandisa magetsi kwaisazongova kwemahara chete asiwo kwaizobhadharwa. Mushure mekunge taziva nezvechigadzirwa chemagetsi chepamhepo, maitiro ekushandisa simba kumba akachinjawo. Unogona kusanganisa maitiro ako ekushandisa magetsi zvakasununguka. Mota yako yemagetsi, sisitimu diki yekuchengetera simba kumba, uye sisitimu yezuva yedenga zvese zvinogona kuvaka midziyo yako yemagetsi. Kuburikidza nezvigadzirwa zvemagetsi zvepamhepo, kunewo kukosha kwezvinhu zvekabhoni. Zvinokwanisika kuti hauna kubhadhara kana sendi yemagetsi mugore rese asi uchiri kuwana kudzoka kwezvinhu izvo simba rinofanira kuva nazvo. Izvi zvatove zvichiitika nhasi.
Qian Zhimin, nhengo yeKomiti Yekugara yeNational Committee yeChinese People's Political Consultative Conference uye mutevedzeri wemutungamiriri wePopulation, Resources and Environment Committee, akawedzera kuti: Grid yemagetsi iripo yakaoma kudzora nekudzora nekuda kwekuwanda kwesimba idzva. Zvisinei, kana paine ma "virtual power plants" akawanda ipapo, magetsi anogona kudzorwa nema "virtual power plants". Munguva dzebasa kana paine kushomeka kwesimba, ma "virtual power plants" anogona kubatsira kuderedza mutoro. Chinonyanya kukosha, mutengo we "regulatory capacity" unoumbwa nema "virtual power plants" chikamu chimwe mugumi chemari yekugadzirisa "regulatory capacity" yema "virtual power plants", uye zvinobatsirawo munhu wese. Zvinobatsira kuchengetedzeka kwe "power grid" uye kuchengetedzeka kwekushandiswa kwemagetsi nevashandisi.
Cao Kaihu, mutungamiriri weNengjian Energy Research Institute, akataura kuti: “Chinhu chinonyanya kukosha pamagetsi emagetsi epamhepo ndechekuti anoshandisa zviwanikwa zviripo mumagetsi ese. Hazvidi kuvakwa kutsva kana kuwedzera mari yakawanda yekuisa zvinhu zvakatarwa.” Chigadzirwa chemagetsi chechokwadi chepamhepo inzira yekuunganidza zviwanikwa zvakapararira munharaunda kuburikidza nepuratifomu yesoftware.
Cheng Lu, CEO weXinao Shuneng Technology, akawedzera kuti, “Masimba emagetsi chaiwo haaoneki uye haabatike, asi aripo zvechokwadi.” Pasi pane Internet yezvinhu inobatanidza mhuri yega yega, chivako chega chega, mota yega yega uye fekitori yega yega. Pakati pane pfungwa dzeAI dzinoita sarudzo dzinoungana kubva pasi kusvika kumusoro uye dzinotora chikamu mukutengeserana kwakasiyana-siyana, mhinduro uye mitemo yegridi yemagetsi. Chechitatu, inofanira kusvika kuterminal uye inogona kugadziriswa, kudzorwa, kuonekwa uye kuyerwa.
Remangwana remagetsi richange rakaita sei chaizvo?
Qian Zhimin, nhengo yeKomiti Yekugara yeNational Committee yeChinese People's Political Consultative Conference uye mutevedzeri wemukuru wePopulation, Resources and Environment Committee, akati, "Ndinotenda kuti AI yeramangwana ichawanikwa kuburikidza nesimba, uye simba reramangwana richawanikwa kuburikidza nekusimudzirana kweAI. Saka, ndinoti mugumo weAI isimba, uye mugumo wesimba iAI."
Zhu Gongshan, sachigaro weGCL Group, akati, "Magetsi pamwe nesimba remakomputa zvakaenzana nekubudirira mune ramangwana. Remangwana riri mukuvaka rudzi rutsva rwesimba remagetsi."
Zhang Chuanwei, sachigaro weMingyang Smart Energy, akati, "Munguva yemberi, simba harichazove chinhu chinokosha pacharo, asi richagadzira kukosha kuburikidza nesimba pacharo."
Cheng Lu, CEO weXinaoshu Energy Technology: “Magetsi achava akaita sei mune ramangwana?” Magetsi nesimba remakombiyuta zviri nyore kusvika. Mune ramangwana, tingararama munyika yesainzi umo simba rinoita serisingapere, richitungamirirwa nepfungwa dzedu dzeAI. Mune ramangwana, hurongwa hwesimba hungasasanganisira kupindira kwevanhu; hungave uropi hweAI hunoshanda zvakanyanya, hwakachengeteka zvakanyanya, uye mutengo wakaderera wehurongwa hwese hwekushanda.”
Nguva yekutumira: Gunyana-22-2025